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2105.12608

Inferring Power System Dynamics from Synchrophasor Data using Gaussian Processes

Mana Jalali, Vassilis Kekatos, Siddharth Bhela, Hao Zhu, Virgilio Centeno

correctmedium confidence
Category
Not specified
Journal tier
Strong Field
Processed
Sep 28, 2025, 12:56 AM

Audit review

The paper derives the modal decoupling of the swing dynamics under uniform damping (D = γM), defines y = V^T M^{1/2} θ and x = V^T M^{-1/2} p, and obtains N SISO ODEs ÿ_i + γ ẏ_i + λ_i y_i = x_i (S1) together with the impulse response h_i(t) = (a_i e^{c_i t} + b_i e^{d_i t}) u(t) for the output ẏ_i (eq. (10)) . With whitened inputs x(t) (eq. (11)), the paper proves the auto-covariance E[ẏ_i(t+τ) ẏ_i(t)] = α_ii (1/(2γ)) [h_i(τ) + h_i(−τ)] (eq. (12)) and the cross-covariance E[ẏ_i(t+τ) ẏ_j(t)] = α_ij [k_ij(τ) u(τ) + k_ji(−τ) u(−τ)] with k_ij(τ) = a_ij e^{c_i τ} + b_ij e^{d_i τ}, where a_ij and b_ij are given in closed form (eq. (13)) . Finally, it maps back to bus speeds: E[ω(t+τ) ω^T(t)] = M^{-1/2} V E[ẏ(t+τ) ẏ(t)^T] V^T M^{-1/2} (eq. (14)) . The candidate solution reproduces exactly these steps, computes the same impulse responses and convolution integrals, and arrives at the same kernels and back-transform, including the explicit formulas for a_ij and b_ij. Hence both are correct and essentially the same proof, with the model giving more algebraic detail while fully aligning with the paper.

Referee report (LaTeX)

\textbf{Recommendation:} minor revisions

\textbf{Journal Tier:} strong field

\textbf{Justification:}

The work advances a coherent, modal GP framework for dynamic state inference from PMU data. The mathematical core—modal decoupling, impulse responses, and kernel derivations—is solid and well-motivated. Assumptions are realistic for small-signal regimes. Numerical results support applicability under both ambient and faulted conditions, even when uniform damping is violated. Minor clarifications would further strengthen the presentation and reproducibility.