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2101.12107

Phase-sensitive tipping: How cyclic ecosystems respond to contemporary climate

Hassan Alkhayuon, Rebecca C. Tyson, Sebastian Wieczorek

correctmedium confidence
Category
Not specified
Journal tier
Strong Field
Processed
Sep 28, 2025, 12:55 AM

Audit review

The paper states and proves the exact biconditional in Proposition 4.1: for any p1, p2 on the parameter path, an instantaneous jump from p1 to p2 gives irreversible P-tipping from Γ(p1) if and only if Γ(p1) is not contained in the basin of attraction of Γ(p2) . The proof reduces directly to the definition of the basin of attraction for the frozen system, B(Γ,p) = {x0 : d(x(t,x0;p), Γ(p)) → 0 as t → ∞} . The candidate solution reproduces this argument: both directions follow immediately from the basin definition, and the note on partial basin instability matches the paper’s role for that assumption—to guarantee the existence of both tipping and non-tipping phases (phase sensitivity), not to establish the logical equivalence itself . Hence, both are correct and essentially identical in proof structure.

Referee report (LaTeX)

\textbf{Recommendation:} minor revisions

\textbf{Journal Tier:} strong field

\textbf{Justification:}

The biconditional is a clean, correct criterion that follows immediately from the basin definition and is broadly applicable. The paper's inclusion of partial basin instability is contextually important (ensuring phase sensitivity along a path) but not logically required for the equivalence; making this separation explicit would enhance clarity. The contribution is practically useful for diagnosing P-tipping in cyclic systems.