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2007.11796

Global stability properties of a class of renewal epidemic models with variable susceptibility

Michael T. Meehan, Daniel G. Cocks, Emma S. McBryde

correctmedium confidence
Category
Not specified
Journal tier
Specialist/Solid
Processed
Sep 28, 2025, 12:55 AM

Audit review

The paper formulates the variable-susceptibility renewal model (equation (3)) and phase space Ω, proves precompactness under A ∈ BV+ and τ̄ < ∞, and establishes global stability via explicit Lyapunov functionals: U for the disease-free equilibrium when R0 ≤ 1, and W for the endemic equilibrium when R0 > 1 (Theorems 1–2) . The candidate solution proves the same results under the same hypotheses (finite Σ, A ∈ BV+, τ̄ < ∞), but uses a window-maximum argument for R0 ≤ 1 and a different Jensen/g-based Lyapunov construction for R0 > 1. Aside from a minor heuristic bound on S(t,σ) used to obtain a uniform F bound, the model’s reasoning aligns with the paper’s results and assumptions. Hence both are correct, with substantially different arguments for the infection-free case and stylistically different (but compatible) Lyapunov constructions for the endemic case.

Referee report (LaTeX)

\textbf{Recommendation:} minor revisions

\textbf{Journal Tier:} specialist/solid

\textbf{Justification:}

The paper provides a careful extension of renewal epidemic models to incorporate variable susceptibility and uses transparent Lyapunov functionals to prove a clean global threshold theorem. Assumptions ensure compactness and allow LaSalle’s principle to be applied rigorously. A few definitional and regularity details could be clarified, but the main results are correct and of solid interest to specialists in renewal and age/susceptibility-structured epidemic dynamics.